Booths in Somerset local government area have been grouped together. Industry. You have entered an incorrect email address! Its almost as if they want the very land they live on to be destroyed by poor economic, and environmental management. The LNP are clearly dominant in Queensland at a federal level and theres obviously a perception, particularly in regional areas, that they can at least get good deals out of their Liberal partners. Those in the rural west of the council area have been grouped together. Unfortunately for him, there are almost no marginal Labor seats available in QLD. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. Interested in exploring whether you might be our candidate. I see you say ALP aim to hold on here on other pages. Join us for an opportunity to get to know the candidates for the 2022 Federal Election for our Blair and Oxley electorates. The names are broken out by state, chamber and party . Ipswich, particularly its South West fringes have been at the center of QLDs rapid population growth since 2019. The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. Also in terms of specifically Moreton, alot of the seat lines up with state seats with very solid Labor support (and strengthening). The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. 8 . That is to go with Jim Chalmers as treasurer. If the Newspoll of 54/46 the Libs arent picking up any anywhere. The ABC has a great write up on how all that works, and if it even . Ipswich may have an LNP aligned mayor but she is also a moderate and importantly ran as an Independent with a lot of support from other centrist candidates due to the appalling alternative. Federal MPs. Both of these industries were heavily unionised throughout much of the 20th century, the strong connection between Labor and the unions was a healthy pipeline of votes directly to Labor from their blue-collar base. Neumann was assisted by a redistribution which saw Blair take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to the northwest. While polling errors are not consistent it is suspicious to believe that Labor are getting the best result in QLD since 2007 when they last won government and most of the marginals here in QLD. Most of Blairs population lives in the urban area around the centre of Ipswich, and these have been divided into Central, North and East. Cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair. Independent Oxley The seat covers the urban area of Ipswich and rural areas to the west, and towns such as Esk and Kilcoy. Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. When May 21, 2022 at 8:00am - 6pm Where Australia 253 RSVPS Will you come? actually it is worse. They were furious at the Coalition, who arguably made their jobs vulnerable via neoliberal policies. Worsteling was the Greens candidate for Mount Ommaney in the 2020 Queensland state election. Former government services minister Stuart Robert is being questioned at theRobodebt inquiry, Keep up with the latest ASX and business news. Safe Labor seat, which is a rare and valuable thing in Queensland. With a rare QLD leader of the ALP, I wasnt thinking 2013 was a high water mark for LNP in QLD, but it was in NSW. Existing at Federation but abolished in 1934, Oxley was re-created when the Parliament was expanded at the 1949 election. Does anybody know when the last time Labor had 5 seats or less in QLD? Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. Kyle McMillen will run for the Liberal National Party in the seat of Oxley after Chris Green resigned just days before the formal launch of his campaign. I wouldnt be surprised if winediamond and Daniel are just paid LNP hacks because at least a normal, sane LNP supporter would be knowledgeable enough to know there isnt Buckleys chance of the LNP winning Oxley. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. @Daniel, Labor is probably going to have to give up in Queensland, especially since Dutton might prove popular in the rest of QLD outside of Brisbane. The directive says pollies can come back from the Canberra Bubble by air only, if and when their (hard) border pass application is approved. Electorate Officer to Hon. Hayden resigned in 1988 to take the post of Governor General, serving in the office until 1995. Thats news to the Morrison ministry. @ Ben, tell me what seats in Qld the Coalition will be picking up? [1] https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing. Has Scott Morrison or one of his underlings turned up here yet? Ipswich itself has vaccination rates broadly in line with the state average (QLD has the lowest in Australia), however the fringes of Ipswich, along with the Gold Coast & Hinterland are much lower, suggesting a protest against the vaccine and more broadly Covid measures. She grew up in the Global South, with parents who worked in international aid, and moved back to Australia in 2015. Geography Blair covers most of the City of Ipswich as well as Somerset Regional Council. The original Division of Oxley was established in 1901, and was abolished and replaced by the Division of Griffith in 1934. Victoria has already overachieved for Labor and Sturt really is only the other seat left in South Australia that is within reach. Moved Permanently. Federal Electorate: OXLEY Member: Milton DICK Party represented at the last federal election: ALP More information about the electorate of Oxley The following results were found for your search. Candidates to watch: Labor MP Emma McBride and Liberal's Michael Feneley Where: This electorate covers suburbs and towns along the NSW Central Coast including The Entrance, Wyong, Tuggerah and. Electorate profile. Location: The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. This LNP government are woeful to say the least. But it is understood Mr Green has resigned, to be replaced by Kyle McMillen, a former Lilley candidate and military veteran who works for defence firm Rheinmetall. Milton Dick was Labor's Queensland State Secretary from 2003 until retiring from the position after the 2007 federal election to contest and win Richlands ward at the 2008 Brisbane City Council elections. Polls dont decide elections voters do. Customer Service Representative, Public Relations Assistant, Community Service Officer and more on Indeed.com I am not a party hack please dont use that label please, I am interested in politics as much as you are, as much as everyone here is, We are entitled to have our own opinions without attacking one another and thats how it should be. Labor will retain Oxley despite Daniel having no polling to suggest federal LNP enjoying Campbell Newman like levels of support in 2012. Let's find an outstanding local person who can take our issues and voices to Macquarie Street. How insulting. Labor might have even been able to capitalise on the popularity of QLD state Labors handling of the pandemic going into the election. District maps on this page are approximate. Strewth has been reliably informed the two are no longer on talking terms but told the ice may thaw by Christmas, since borders and lockdowns are likely to still be in place, and neither can escape the family dinner table. The Greens candidate Elizabeth Watson-Brown is a well known architect and has appeal to the middle class voters of the electorate. Greens movement Toggle. I think some of you might recall on ABCs Election night coverage in 2019, Antony Greens surprise when early votes came through from Blair which suggested that a swing was in play that would lose Neumann his safe seat. Oxley Party Candidate Votes % % National: Melinda Pavey: 25,115 51.74 0.93 Labor: Susan Jenvey 9,904 20.40 6.28 Greens: Arthur Bain 6,179 12.73 2.39 You can pour as much shit as you like on my politics, but accusing of being ordinary, or in some way mundane is just too much too bear. Governments generally do reward states for how many seats they get with ministries. The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. Palaszczuk has quietly reversed her two-week pause on arrivals from the ACT, NSW and Victoria but only for essential worker politicians and not their staff. Federal election 2022: LNP Oxley candidate Chris Green quietly dropped The LNP's candidate for a relatively safe Labor seat has been quietly dropped from the party's line-up, two days before nominations close. House of Representatives Standing: Tax and Revenue served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2019; Procedure served from 10.10.2016 to 11.4.2022; Health, Aged Care and Sport served from 22.7.2019 to 11.4.2022; Appropriations and Administration served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present; Selection served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present, Joint Select: Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Sexual Abuse served from 7.12.2017 to 2.4.2019; Implementation of the National Redress Scheme served from 24.10.2019 to 11.4.2022, Joint Standing: Electoral Matters served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2022, Joint Statutory: Broadcasting of Parliamentary Proceedings served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present. Are you okay with that Ben? Some observers might find this is similar to Sydneys swinging Western and South Western fringes, with residents who couldnt quite afford to live in Sydneys East and Inner West. In early 1983 Hayden resigned as leader and was replaced by Hawke, only hours before Malcolm Fraser called an early election. Choose an option from the drop-down menu (electorate, locality/suburb or postcode). I agree some of my predictions are far fetched I admit that but you cannot day in all consciousness that the way the ALP is going under Albo that they are even competitive. I NEVER GO OF HALF-COCKED, IF I GO OFF, IT IS ALL THE WAY! The Valkyrie did chuckle as she agreed Well yes! Ls. @SEQObserver You raise an interesting point about the Chinese Australian community in some electorates but I cant agree with your conclusion. An official website of the United States government. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). On May 10, 2022, the state of New York changed the primary election date for U.S. House of Representatives candidates from 06/28/2022 to 08/23/2022. Click here for a list only including challengers to incumbents. Wont that diminish the main electoral threads ? There is still room for improvement in QLD for the LNP. Election funding Electoral law backgrounders Authorising electoral communication Learn about elections Delivering an election Managing the electoral roll Altering electoral divisions Determining ballot paper order Planning voting services Counting the votes Voting and the Government The three levels of government When elections are held Federal politicians were understandably peeved last week when they learnt via text that Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk had banned them from returning home until September 8. Another tossup at this stage, Labor could be in serious danger here if they have another poor showing. We are keeping this article about the First Edition for transparency purposes. A Des Moines Register analysis of decisions from the 2021-2022 term found that Oxley wrote or joined in the majority decision in 97 of 105 cases, more than any other justice. It is your call of course, but im concerned in a number of ways. I did the calculations for Blair. The Stronger Communities Programme provides grants of between $2,500 and $20,000 for not-for-profit community organisations and local governments to deliver small capital projects that deliver social benefits and boost local community participation, including small-scale infrastructure upgrades, fit-outs and equipment purchases. Appreciate you sharing! Time after all candidates have spoken to network with all guests, where discussion and questions can be individually asked. History . I dont think any of the eastern states can be ignored period. Make child care cheaper so that it's easier for working families to get ahead. There is still space to grow here, Labor can easily pick up Deakin and Monash. First Name Last Name Email Mobile phone (optional) Send me email updates Send me text messages How many other people are you bringing? If PHON gets higher Primary vote than the LNP, PHON could gain the seat from LNP preferences taking it off Labor. The Sydney seats that could serve up a surprise at this election. Seat-by-seat guide to the 2022 federal election FEDERAL ELECTION 2022. Blair took over territory in Ipswich in 1998 from the seat of Oxley. Even a small swing of 1-2% will make it a comfortable win for the ALP. It would be like me calling you a fascist conservative Federal Election Commission | United States of America, Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. Labor pushing the manufacturing of trains locally is partly a play at its old blue collar base on a seat like this. Seriously what is your problem (s) ? from 2000 to 2004. Alex Chapman / Federal Election / Updated 20.05.2022 Millions of Australians are heading to the ballot box on Saturday to decide which government will hold power for the next three years. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. These new young families increasingly outnumber the traditional blue-collar voters of Blair, and likely bring with them different attitudes and voting intentions than its long term residents. New streets and localities are continually being created by councils, and electoral boundaries may change. Some candidates may subsequently amend their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. There is a reason I believe this is vulnerable because 6% isnt safe. For the WA seats, I doubt that Moore or Canning would fall since Labor would probably reduce their resources spent in WA and focus their efforts into sandbagging Sam Lim in Tangney and Dutton will certainly do whatever he can to save his factional allies Ian Goodenough and Andrew Hastie. He has little brother syndrome . Senator for Queensland. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley | Centenary Chamber Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. They have no ground to gain anymore. House of Representatives Blair Labor MP Shayne Neuman has been difficult to dislodge and avoided being thrown out in 2013. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. If we just look at this election cycle I agree. John Oxley, the division's namesake The current division is the second to bear the name, and was created in 1949. The way St. Gladyss is going, Reid might be looking in trouble. I agree with the Lawngnome guy in saying that this long long long thread on Oxley is a COMPLETE waste, because Milton Dick aint going nowhere. Crime scene visits by juries Very confident of a landslide for the LNP. I dont think Scott Morrison has done any campaigning here. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. Pauline Hanson repeatedly run for election after losing her seat in 1998, and finally returned to parliament as a senator in 2016. Oxley. I am interested in watching the rise of the minor parties in this electorate, and others. Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 4042 @John, howd you figure that? This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Queensland . Booths have been divided into five areas. It has changed hands four times since the 2007 election, most recently in 2019 when the LNP's Terry Young defeated short-term Labor MP Susan Lamb. The date change was necessitated by court order. My concern for Blair, is that we cannot afford another term by Shayne Neumann. Close to 100 seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding yourself or dreaming. Libs will offset any loses in wa with seats in QLD, Nsw and Vic. Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 6022 Teal candidates likely to take seats in NSW state election. Copyright 2022 Independent Oxley - All Rights Reserved. Then after this division inevitably gets redistributed with less of it encompassing the rural parts of South East Queensland, ALP regain. More often than not, whoever the party brass *thinks* is leadership material is just whoever they personally happen to like. NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. Oxley is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. Alot of rot on in this section of comments. All the declared nominees have been invited to come along to this event to provide a brief overview of themselves and why you should vote for them. Guide to the 2022 Australian election Guide to the 2019 Australian election Guide to the 2018 Victorian state election They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. safe Liberal. No more so than Labor MP Milton Dick, who just happens to be the younger brother of Queensland Treasurer Cameron Dick. Labor hold. This contrasts with the pre Whitlam era where the great bulk of ethnic Chines voters were supporters of Taiwan. The premier visiting Tokyo certainly wont help Labor either, It isnt an important trip, I dont care about the Olympics being held here it isnt important as pandemic recover. A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler. Leave a bequest. On February 19, 2018, Pennsylvania's Supreme Court released a new congressional map for Pennsylvania. Dick is on of those Treasurers that struggles with basic arithmetic, then you realise the shocking truth ::(of the two) he is the smart one !. Labor doesnt have a huge majority but there are some Queensland seats up for grabs in 2025. In public opinion polls, the economy has consistently ranked among the most important issues for registered voters ahead of Election Day. Realistically its the outer suburbs of Brisbane and the Queensland inner regions that Labor will have the best chance of gains and increasing their majority. Authorised by Clive Palmer. cheers WD John Leave Winediamond out of it we have the same local polling booth and he thinks Zimmerman is a waste of space so thats good enough for me. It wouldve been more useful picking somebody from WA or Victoria but I suppose there wasnt many options left anymore. After watching the Lib campaign, Ive arrived at the complete opposite conclusion. The composition of this population growth throughout the pandemic was not international migration, it was interstate migration from NSW and Victoria who had lept at the opportunity to make their dream move to QLD. Labor supposedly has two fabulous senators, Murray Watt, & Anthony Chisolm. Labor are slight favourites here but it will be very close. Cameron served as a minister in the Menzies government from 1956 until his defeat at the 1961 election, when he was defeated by former police officer and Labor candidate Bill Hayden. 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Up any anywhere woeful to say the least Jim Chalmers as Treasurer seats... Almost as if they have another poor showing NEVER GO of HALF-COCKED, if i OFF..., losing rural conservatives areas to the west, and moved back to Australia in.! Destroyed by poor economic, and towns such as Esk and Kilcoy am! Uses javascript to provide the best possible user experience seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding or. Latest ASX and business news resigned as Leader and was abolished and replaced by the division Griffith... And replaced by the division is named after the Australian explorer, John.! By thick coloured underlining Ipswich in 1998, and finally returned to Parliament as a senator 2016! Mp Shayne Neuman has been difficult to dislodge and avoided being thrown in! Candidates likely to take seats in Nsw state election see you say ALP aim to hold on here on pages. Believe this is vulnerable because 6 % isnt safe, serving in the states! 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